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Serie A
Serie A Italy
23.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Not started

Serie A

Italy

Bologna - Lazio

Italy Football
Bologna
Bologna
- : -
Not started
Lazio
Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Lazio August 23, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.07 / X 3.35 / 2 3.75

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 46.1%
X 28.5%
2 25.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Market 1 46.1% @ 2.07 / X 28.5% @ 3.35 / 2 25.4% @ 3.75
Match center

Bologna - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.75 Fonbet · line only
X 3.35 Fonbet · line only
1 2.07 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.30 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 6.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.15 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.92 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.35 74.1%
1x 1.30 76.9%
x2 1.77 56.5%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.06 94.3%
1.04 96.2%
3.15 31.8%
4.20 23.8%
6.80 14.7%
7.90 12.7%
1.50 66.7%
6.60 15.2%
7.60 13.2%
1.30 76.9%
1.20 83.3%
1.06 94.3%
1.04 96.2%
2.60 38.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3%
Over 1 1.09 91.7%
Over 1.5 1.38 72.5%
Over 2 1.62 61.7%
Over 2.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 3 3.10 32.3%
Over 3.5 3.80 26.3%
Over 4 5.80 17.2%
Over 4.5 6.50 15.4%
Under 0.5 6.70 14.9%
Under 1 5.70 17.5%
Under 1.5 2.80 35.7%
Under 2 2.20 45.5%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 3 1.32 75.8%
Under 3.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 4 1.09 91.7%
Under 4.5 1.06 94.3%
Match center
Bologna
D W W D L
23.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 3:3 InterInter
17.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
11.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 3:2 NapoliNapoli
03.05 10:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:0 CagliariCagliari
25.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Lazio
W L L W D
23.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:1 PisaPisa
17.05 10:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
09.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:3 InterInter
04.05 16:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:1 CremoneseCremonese
27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:3 UdineseUdinese
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Lazio

Bologna
2 matches total
Lazio
Bologna: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Lazio: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Lazio 0:2 (22.03 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 22.03 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (07.12 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

22.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna
0:2
Lazio
07.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna
1:1
Lazio