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Serie A
Serie A Italy
07.04.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
07.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Bologna - Napoli

Italy Football
Bologna
Bologna
1 : 1
Finished
Napoli
Napoli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Napoli April 7, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.92 / X 3.01 / 2 2.84
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 33.4% / X 32.4% / Napoli 34.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 33.4%
X 32.4%
2 34.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Bologna - Napoli

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.84 market consensus · line only
X 3.01 market consensus · line only
1 2.92 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.45 market consensus · line only
12 1.43 market consensus · line only
1X 1.48 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.92 34.3%
X 3.01 33.2%
2.84 35.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.45 69.0%
home_away 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.48 67.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 1.5 1.52 65.8%
Under 1.5 2.68 37.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.97 50.8%
1.90 52.6%
Match center
Bologna
W D D D W
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:0 CagliariCagliari
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:2 GenoaGenoa
06.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:0 ParmaParma
28.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
22.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:1 Monza
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Napoli
W W W W W
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:0 AC MilanAC Milan
26.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 LecceLecce
20.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 Empoli
04.10 16:30 UTC Serie A
Napoli 3:1 ComoComo
29.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:0 Monza
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.2 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Napoli

Bologna
0 matches total
Napoli
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history