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Serie A
Serie A Italy
06.10.2024 13:00 UTC Match prediction
06.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Bologna - Parma

Italy Futbol
Bologna
Bologna
0 : 0
Finished
Parma
Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Parma 6 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.67 / 2 3.89
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 48.6% / X 26.5% / Parma 25.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 48.6%
X 26.5%
2 25.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 54.8%
Under 2.5 45.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Bologna - Parma

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.89 market consensus · line only
X 3.67 market consensus · line only
1 2.00 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.00 50.0%
Х 3.67 27.3%
П2 3.89 25.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.88 53.2%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.29 77.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.77 56.5%
ТМ 2.5 2.15 46.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.46 68.5%
П2 2.85 35.1%
Match center
Bologna
D W D
28.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
22.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:1 Monza
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:2 ComoComo
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
5 Points
Parma
L D L
30.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:3 CagliariCagliari
21.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:2 LecceLecce
16.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:3 UdineseUdinese
0 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.7 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Parma

Bologna
0 matches total
Parma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history