Serie A
Serie A Italy
08.02.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Bologna - Parma

Italy Futbol
Bologna
Bologna
0 : 1
Finished
Parma
Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Parma 8 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / X 3.69 / 2 5.25
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 56.1% / X 25.8% / Parma 18.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 56.2%
X 25.7%
2 18.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 46.9%
Under 2.5 53.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.02.2026 11:30 UTC
Match center

Bologna - Parma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.27 market consensus · line only
X 3.69 market consensus · line only
1 1.69 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.19 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.92 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.96 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.70 58.8%
Х 3.74 26.7%
П2 5.59 17.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.69 59.2% 1.69 59.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1%
Х 3.65 27.4% 3.85 26.0% 3.86 25.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.60 27.8%
П2 4.90 20.4% 5.20 19.2% 5.62 17.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.20 19.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0%
yes 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.24 44.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Bologna
L L L W D
03.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:3 AC MilanAC Milan
25.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:3 GenoaGenoa
18.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
15.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 3:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
10.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 ComoComo
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
4 Points
Parma
L L D D W
01.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:4 JuventusJuventus
25.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:4 AtalantaAtalanta
18.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 GenoaGenoa
14.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 NapoliNapoli
11.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:1 LecceLecce
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Parma

Bologna
2 matches total
Parma
Bologna: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Parma: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Bologna 3:1 (02.11 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 02.11 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (06.10 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

02.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna
3:1
Parma
06.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna
0:0
Parma