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Serie A
Serie A Italy
05.10.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction
05.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Bologna - Pisa

Italy Football
Bologna
Bologna
4 : 0
Finished
Pisa
Pisa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bologna - Pisa October 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 3.63 / 2 5.41
  • 1X2 market: Bologna 56.1% / X 26.3% / Pisa 17.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 56.1%
X 26.3%
2 17.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 42.7%
Under 2.5 57.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Bologna - Pisa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.43 market consensus · line only
X 3.63 market consensus · line only
1 1.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.10 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.15 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.71 58.5%
X 3.64 27.5%
5.73 17.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
5.40 18.5% 5.50 18.2% 5.36 18.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.70 17.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.63 61.4% 1.74 57.5%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.19 45.7% 2.14 46.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.18 45.9%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.15 87.0% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Bologna
D W L W L
28.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:2 LecceLecce
20.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:1 GenoaGenoa
14.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
30.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:0 ComoComo
23.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Pisa
D L L L D
28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
22.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:3 NapoliNapoli
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:1 UdineseUdinese
30.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
24.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBologna - Pisa

Bologna
0 matches total
Pisa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history