Serie A
Serie A Italy
20.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cagliari - Empoli

Italy Futbol
Cagliari
Cagliari
0 : 2
Finished
Empoli
Empoli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - Empoli 20 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cagliari.

Line favourite market consensus: Cagliari. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.18 / X 3.34 / 2 3.70
  • 1X2 market: Cagliari 44.6% / X 29.1% / Empoli 26.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 44.6%
X 29.1%
2 26.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 43.3%
Under 2.5 56.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Cagliari - Empoli

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.70 market consensus · line only
X 3.34 market consensus · line only
1 2.18 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.76 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.18 45.9%
Х 3.34 29.9%
П2 3.70 27.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.76 56.8%
home_away 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.31 76.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.24 44.6%
ТМ 2.5 1.71 58.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.53 65.4%
П2 2.62 38.2%
Match center
Cagliari
L
15.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:4 NapoliNapoli
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points
Empoli
D
14.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Empoli 0:0 JuventusJuventus
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Empoli

Cagliari
0 matches total
Empoli
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history