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Serie A
Serie A Italy
27.09.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
27.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cagliari - Inter

Italy Football
Cagliari
Cagliari
0 : 2
Finished
Inter
Inter

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - Inter September 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.23 / X 4.14 / 2 1.55
  • 1X2 market: Cagliari 15.3% / X 23.1% / Inter 61.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 15.3%
X 23.1%
2 61.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 51.0%
Under 2.5 49.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Cagliari - Inter

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.55 market consensus · line only
X 4.14 market consensus · line only
1 6.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.13 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 2.47 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.93 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.54 15.3%
X 4.26 23.5%
1.55 64.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
6.20 16.1% 6.20 16.1% 6.13 16.3% 5.75 17.4% 6.25 16.0% 6.60 15.2%
X 4.10 24.4% 4.30 23.3% 4.28 23.4% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8%
1.52 65.8% 1.54 64.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 2.01 49.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.14 87.7%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8%
Match center
Cagliari
W W L D L
19.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:1 LecceLecce
13.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:0 ParmaParma
30.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:1 NapoliNapoli
24.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
23.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 NapoliNapoli
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Inter
W L L W W
21.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:1 SassuoloSassuolo
13.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:4 JuventusJuventus
31.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:2 UdineseUdinese
25.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 5:0 TorinoTorino
23.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 ComoComo
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Inter

Cagliari
1 matches total
Inter
Cagliari: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Inter: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Inter 1:3 (12.04 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 12.04 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

12.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari
1:3
Inter