Serie A
Serie A Italy
17.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cagliari - Juventus

Italy Futbol
Cagliari
Cagliari
1 : 0
Finished
Juventus
Juventus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - Juventus 17 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.62 / X 4.05 / 2 1.53
  • 1X2 market: Cagliari 14.4% / X 23.5% / Juventus 62.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 14.4%
X 23.5%
2 62.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 46.9%
Under 2.5 53.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Cagliari - Juventus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.53 market consensus · line only
X 4.06 market consensus · line only
1 6.64 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 2.52 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.94 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 6.90 14.5%
Х 4.14 24.2%
П2 1.54 64.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 6.96 14.4% 6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7% 6.80 14.7%
Х 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.22 23.7% 3.80 26.3% 4.20 23.8% 4.15 24.1%
П2 1.51 66.2% 1.55 64.5% 1.58 63.3% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.74 57.5%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.08 48.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.08 48.1% 2.19 45.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 2.45 40.8% 2.56 39.1% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.56 39.1%
Match center
Cagliari
L D L W D
12.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:3 GenoaGenoa
08.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:2 CremoneseCremonese
02.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
27.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:1 TorinoTorino
21.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:2 PisaPisa
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Juventus
W W D W W
12.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 5:0 CremoneseCremonese
06.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 3:0 SassuoloSassuolo
03.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 LecceLecce
27.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:0 PisaPisa
20.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:1 AS RomaAS Roma
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Juventus

Cagliari
2 matches total
Juventus
Cagliari: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Juventus: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Juventus 1:2 (29.11 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 29.11 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (06.10 10:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 2

Match history

29.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari
1:2
Juventus
06.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari
1:1
Juventus