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Serie A
Serie A Italy
21.02.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
21.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cagliari - Lazio

Italy Football
Cagliari
Cagliari
0 : 0
Finished
Lazio
Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - Lazio February 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.45 / X 2.93 / 2 2.36
  • 1X2 market: Cagliari 27.5% / X 32.3% / Lazio 40.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 27.5%
X 32.4%
2 40.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 36.6%
Under 2.5 63.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Cagliari - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.36 market consensus · line only
X 2.94 market consensus · line only
1 3.46 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.60 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.58 27.9%
X 3.03 33.0%
2.39 41.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.35 29.9% 3.65 27.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0%
X 2.94 34.0% 2.90 34.5% 3.06 32.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9%
2.30 43.5% 2.36 42.4% 2.43 41.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.35 42.6% 2.35 42.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.66 60.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.64 61.0% 1.72 58.1%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.21 45.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Cagliari
L L W W W
16.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 LecceLecce
09.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
31.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 4:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
24.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
17.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:0 JuventusJuventus
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Lazio
L D W D L
14.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
08.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:2 JuventusJuventus
30.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:2 GenoaGenoa
24.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 LecceLecce
19.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:3 ComoComo
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Lazio

Cagliari
1 matches total
Lazio
Cagliari: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lazio: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Lazio 0:2 (03.11 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 03.11 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

03.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari
0:2
Lazio