Serie A Italy

13.09.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction

13.09.2025 13:00 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Cagliari - Parma

Italy Futbol

Cagliari

2 : 0

Finished

Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - Parma 13 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cagliari.

Line favourite market consensus: Cagliari. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.35 / X 3.00 / 2 3.40
1X2 market: Cagliari 40.4% / X 31.7% / Parma 27.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 58.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 40.4%

X 31.7%

2 27.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%

Over 2.5 41.3%

Under 2.5 58.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 13.09.2025 13:00 UTC

Match center

Cagliari - Parma

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.40 market consensus · line only

X 3.00 market consensus · line only

1 2.35 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.57 market consensus · line only

12 1.36 market consensus · line only

1X 1.30 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.30 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.25 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.80 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.35 42.6%
Х	3.00 33.3%
П2	3.40 29.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	Bet365	SStats Consensus
П1	2.35 42.6%	2.35 42.6%
Х	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%
П2	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Bet365
no	1.80 55.6%
yes	1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome	Bet365	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%
home_away	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%

Match center

Cagliari

L D L W L

30.08 18:45 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 0:1 Napoli

24.08 16:30 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 1:1 Fiorentina

23.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 0:2 Napoli

18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 3:0 Venezia

10.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 1:3 Como

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.4 Conceded

4 Points

Parma

D L W D L

30.08 16:30 UTC Serie A

Parma 1:1 Atalanta

24.08 18:45 UTC Serie A

Parma 0:2 Juventus

25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Parma 3:2 Atalanta

18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Parma 0:0 Napoli

10.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Parma 1:2 Empoli

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.4 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Parma

Cagliari

1 matches total

Parma

Cagliari: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Parma: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Cagliari 3:2 (30.09 18:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 30.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

30.09 18:45 UTC

Serie A

Cagliari

3:2

Parma