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Serie A
Serie A Italy
21.12.2025 11:30 UTC Match prediction
21.12.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cagliari - Pisa

Italy Football
Cagliari
Cagliari
2 : 2
Finished
Pisa
Pisa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - Pisa December 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cagliari.

Line favourite market consensus: Cagliari. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.13 / X 3.05 / 2 3.89
  • 1X2 market: Cagliari 44.5% / X 31.1% / Pisa 24.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 44.5%
X 31.1%
2 24.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 37.1%
Under 2.5 62.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.12.2025 11:30 UTC
Match center

Cagliari - Pisa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.90 market consensus · line only
X 3.06 market consensus · line only
1 2.13 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.72 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.72 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.56 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.69 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.16 46.3%
X 3.14 31.9%
4.05 24.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.14 46.7% 2.11 47.4% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.21 31.2% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%
3.85 26.0% 4.25 23.5% 3.94 25.4% 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.66 60.2% 1.72 58.1%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.11 47.4% 2.09 47.9% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.20 45.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.67 59.9% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Cagliari
L W L D D
13.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:2 AtalantaAtalanta
07.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
29.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:2 JuventusJuventus
22.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 3:3 GenoaGenoa
08.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:0 ComoComo
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Pisa
L L L D W
12.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:1 LecceLecce
08.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:1 ParmaParma
30.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:2 InterInter
24.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:2 SassuoloSassuolo
07.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:0 CremoneseCremonese
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Pisa

Cagliari
0 matches total
Pisa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history