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Serie A
Serie A Italy
30.10.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction
30.10.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cagliari - Sassuolo

Italy Football
Cagliari
Cagliari
1 : 2
Finished
Sassuolo
Sassuolo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - Sassuolo October 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cagliari.

Line favourite market consensus: Cagliari. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.58 / X 3.05 / 2 2.98
  • 1X2 market: Cagliari 36.9% / X 31.2% / Sassuolo 31.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 36.9%
X 31.2%
2 31.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 41.0%
Under 2.5 59.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.10.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Cagliari - Sassuolo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.98 market consensus · line only
X 3.05 market consensus · line only
1 2.59 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.51 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.40 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.95 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.51 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.69 37.2%
X 3.08 32.5%
3.02 33.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.52 39.7% 2.66 37.6% 2.68 37.3% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.62 38.2%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.14 31.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3%
3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.08 32.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.42 70.4%
Match center
Cagliari
D L D L W
26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 BolognaBologna
05.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:1 UdineseUdinese
27.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 InterInter
19.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:1 LecceLecce
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Sassuolo
L D W W L
26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
18.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:0 LecceLecce
03.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
28.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:1 UdineseUdinese
21.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:2 InterInter
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Sassuolo

Cagliari
0 matches total
Sassuolo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history