Serie A
Serie A Italy
20.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cagliari - Torino

Italy Futbol
Cagliari
Cagliari
3 : 2
Finished
Torino
Torino

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - Torino 20 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cagliari.

Line favourite market consensus: Cagliari. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.45 / X 3.07 / 2 3.40
  • 1X2 market: Cagliari 39.7% / X 31.7% / Torino 28.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 39.7%
X 31.7%
2 28.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 43.3%
Under 2.5 56.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.10.2024 16:00 UTC
Match center

Cagliari - Torino

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.40 market consensus · line only
X 3.07 market consensus · line only
1 2.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.61 market consensus · line only
12 1.41 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.45 40.8%
Х 3.07 32.6%
П2 3.40 29.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.61 62.1%
home_away 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.24 44.6%
ТМ 2.5 1.71 58.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.66 60.2%
П2 2.31 43.3%
Match center
Cagliari
D W L L
06.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:1 JuventusJuventus
30.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 3:2 ParmaParma
20.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 Empoli
15.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:4 NapoliNapoli
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.3 Conceded
4 Points
Torino
L L W D
05.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:3 InterInter
29.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:3 LazioLazio
20.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 3:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
15.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:0 LecceLecce
1 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Torino

Cagliari
0 matches total
Torino
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history