Serie A Italy

37-й тур 17.05.2026 18:45 UTC Match prediction

17.05.2026 18:45 UTC 37-й тур

Finished

Serie A

Cagliari - Torino

Italy Futbol

Cagliari

2 : 1

Finished

Torino

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - Torino 17 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cagliari.

Line favourite market consensus: Cagliari. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.29 / X 3.04 / 2 3.44
1X2 market: Cagliari 41.3% / X 31.1% / Torino 27.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 58.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%

1 41.3%

X 31.1%

2 27.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%

Over 2.5 41.7%

Under 2.5 58.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: Cagliari

Main outcome Cagliari

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 50.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

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Match center

Stadium Унипол Домус (Кальяри, Италия), вместимость: 16416

Referee Альберто Арена (Торре-дель-Греко, Италия)

Start 17.05.2026 18:45 UTC

Match center

Cagliari - Torino

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Кальяри - Торино, 17 мая 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Италии по футболу (Серия A) 2025-2026, 37-й тур. Кальяри - Торино, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 2:1

Events 14

Statistics 22

Lineups 46

min Event Player Team

37' 37' Normal Goal | R. Obrador | assist/sub out: M. Prati Rafael Obrador Torino

39' 39' Normal Goal Cagliari

45' 45' Normal Goal | Y. Mina Y. Mina Cagliari

46' 46' Substitution 1 | L. Marianucci | assist/sub out: G. Maripan Luca Marianucci Torino

59' 59' Substitution 2 | M. Prati | assist/sub out: C. Casadei M. Prati Torino

59' 59' Substitution 3 | D. Zapata | assist/sub out: C. Adams D. Zapata Torino

72' 72' Substitution 2 | A. Deiola | assist/sub out: M. Folorunsho A. Deiola Cagliari

72' 72' Substitution 1 | M. Adopo | assist/sub out: I. Sulemana M. Adopo Cagliari

Metric Cagliari Torino SStats

Ожидаемые голы (xG) 1.32 0.99 final

Заблокированные удары 3 5 final

Удары мимо 6 2 final

Удары в створ 4 3 final

Удары всего 13 10 final

Фолы совершено 8 13 final

Желтые карточки 1 1 final

Офсайды 1 1 final

Cagliari #1 E. Caprile, #14 A. Deiola, #31 P. Mendy, #33 A. Obert, #94 S. Esposito, #2 M. Palestra, #10 G. Gaetano, #22 Alberto Dossena, #8 M. Adopo, #26 Y. Mina, #28 G. Zappa

Torino #1 A. Paleari, #10 N. Vlasic, #33 Rafael Obrador, #77 E. Ebosse, #91 D. Zapata, #4 M. Prati, #18 G. Simeone, #23 Saúl Coco, #6 E. İlkhan, #35 Luca Marianucci, #16 M. Pedersen

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Belotti Cagliari football.player.assists 0

A. Belotti Cagliari football.player.minutes_played 8

A. Deiola Cagliari football.player.assists 0

A. Deiola Cagliari football.player.minutes_played 72

A. Obert Cagliari football.player.assists 0

A. Obert Cagliari football.player.minutes_played 90

Alberto Dossena Cagliari football.player.assists 0

Alberto Dossena Cagliari football.player.minutes_played 90

E. Caprile Cagliari football.player.assists 0

E. Caprile Cagliari football.player.minutes_played 90

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 6.70 Fonbet · line only

1 1.04 Fonbet · line only

2 3.44 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.08 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only

X2 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.80 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 8.50 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 2.00 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 3.45 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
П1	2.22 45.1%	2.37 42.2%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.27 44.1%	2.25 44.4%
Х	3.05 32.8%	3.15 31.8%	2.90 34.5%	3.10 32.3%	3.05 32.8%	3.00 33.3%
П2	3.45 29.0%	3.63 27.6%	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.55 28.2%	3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%
yes	1.91 52.4%	1.92 52.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.88 53.2%	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.90 52.6%	1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.62 61.7%	1.66 60.2%	1.60 62.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.57 63.7%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.41 70.9%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.32 75.8%	1.30 76.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
ТБ 0.5	1.09 91.7%	1.04 96.2%
ТБ 0.75	—	1.06 94.3%
ТБ 1.0	—	1.08 92.6%
ТБ 1.25	—	1.24 80.7%
ТБ 1.5	1.42 70.4%	1.38 72.5%
ТБ 1.75	—	1.50 66.7%
ТБ 2.0	—	1.68 59.5%
ТБ 2.25	—	2.07 48.3%
ТБ 2.5	2.25 44.4%	—
ТБ 3.5	4.20 23.8%	—
ТБ 4.5	8.50 11.8%	—
ТМ 0.5	7.00 14.3%	—
ТМ 1.5	2.80 35.7%	—
ТМ 2.5	1.62 61.7%	—
ТМ 3.5	1.22 82.0%	—
ТМ 4.5	1.06 94.3%	—

Match center

Cagliari

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Torino

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Рияд Идрисси Леонардо Паволетти Маттиа Феличи Джозеф Литета Травмированные Ардиан Исмайли Закария Абухляль Саба Сазонов Дисквалифицированные Зе Педру CHAMP Гвидас Гинейтис CHAMP

Match center

Cagliari

L D W L W

09.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 0:2 Udinese

03.05 10:30 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 0:0 Bologna

27.04 16:30 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 3:2 Atalanta

17.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 0:3 Inter

11.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Cagliari 1:0 Cremonese

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Torino

W L D D W

08.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Torino 2:1 Sassuolo

02.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

Torino 0:2 Udinese

26.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Torino 2:2 Inter

19.04 10:30 UTC Serie A

Torino 0:0 Cremonese

11.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Torino 2:1 Hellas Verona

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.2 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Torino

Cagliari

2 matches total

Torino

Cagliari: 2 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Torino: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Cagliari 2:1 (27.12 14:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 20.10 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 5

Match history

27.12 14:00 UTC

Serie A

Cagliari

2:1

Torino

20.10 16:00 UTC

Serie A

Cagliari

3:2

Torino

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Cagliari

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Torino

36 Игры 36

9 Победы 12

10 Ничьи 8

17 Поражения 16

36 Забито 41

51 Пропущено 59

37 Очки 44

77.11 Атаки 89.83

31.75 Опасные атаки 39.69

0 Голевые моменты 0

10 Удары по воротам 11.47

3.25 Удары в створ 3.97

6 Удаления 0.03 Голы Рафа Обрадор Маттео Прати 0:1 38' Себастьяно Эспозито Джанлука Гаэтано 1:1 39' Йерри Мина 2:1 45+2' Наказания Поль Менди 82' Гильермо Марипан 82'

Кальяри Торино 36 Игры 36 9 Победы 12 10 Ничьи 8 17 Поражения 16 36 Забито 41 51 Пропущено 59 37 Очки 44 77.11 Атаки 89.83 31.75 Опасные атаки 39.69 0 Голевые моменты 0 10 Удары по воротам 11.47 3.25 Удары в створ 3.97 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 3.72 Угловые 3.86 1.69 Оффсайды 1.72 14.03 Фолы 13.97 45.61 % владения мячом 43.86 2.11 Предупреждения 1.94 0.06 Удаления 0.03 Голы Рафа Обрадор Маттео Прати 0:1 38' Себастьяно Эспозито Джанлука Гаэтано 1:1 39' Йерри Мина 2:1 45+2' Наказания Поль Менди 82' Гильермо Марипан 82'