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Serie A
Serie A Italy
03.05.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cagliari - Udinese

Italy Football
Cagliari
Cagliari
1 : 2
Finished
Udinese
Udinese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - Udinese May 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cagliari.

Line favourite market consensus: Cagliari. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.58 / X 2.88 / 2 3.42
  • 1X2 market: Cagliari 37.7% / X 33.8% / Udinese 28.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 37.7%
X 33.8%
2 28.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.05.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Cagliari - Udinese

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.42 market consensus · line only
X 2.88 market consensus · line only
1 2.58 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.46 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.58 38.8%
X 2.88 34.7%
3.42 29.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.56 64.1%
home_away 1.46 68.5%
home_draw 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 1.5 1.52 65.8%
Under 1.5 2.66 37.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.69 59.2%
2.25 44.4%
Match center
Cagliari
W L L D L
28.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
12.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:3 InterInter
06.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:0 Empoli
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 BolognaBologna
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Udinese
D L L L L
28.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:0 BolognaBologna
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:2 TorinoTorino
11.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:4 AC MilanAC Milan
04.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:1 GenoaGenoa
30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:3 Venezia
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Udinese

Cagliari
1 matches total
Udinese
Cagliari: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Udinese: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Udinese 0:2 (25.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 25.10 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

25.10 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari
0:2
Udinese