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Serie A
Serie A Italy
09.05.2026 13:00 UTC 36 round
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cagliari - Udinese

Italy Football
Stadium Unipol Domus
Cagliari
Cagliari
0 : 2
Finished
Udinese
Udinese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cagliari - Udinese May 9, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cagliari.

Line favourite market consensus: Cagliari. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 2.99 / 2 2.98
  • 1X2 market: Cagliari 36.5% / X 31.7% / Udinese 31.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 36.5%
X 31.7%
2 31.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 42.1%
Under 2.5 57.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Unipol Domus (Kalyari, Italy), vmestimost: 16416
Referee Federiko Dionizi
Start 09.05.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Cagliari - Udinese

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Kalyari - Udineze, 9 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 36 round. Kalyari - Udineze, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.10 Fonbet · line only
X 6.20 Fonbet · line only
1 2.57 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.39 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.90 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.57 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.87 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.60 38.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.60 38.5% 2.63 38.0%
X 2.95 33.9% 3.10 32.3% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.09 91.7% 1.03 97.1%
Over 0.75 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.0 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.25 1.23 81.3%
Over 1.5 1.42 70.4% 1.37 73.0%
Over 1.75 1.49 67.1%
Over 2.0 1.65 60.6%
Over 2.25 2.04 49.0%
Over 2.5 2.20 45.5%
Over 3.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 4.5 8.00 12.5%
Under 0.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 1.5 2.85 35.1%
Under 2.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 3.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 4.5 1.07 93.5%
Match center
Cagliari

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Udinese

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Mattia Felichi Riyad Idrissi Dzhennaro Borrelli Leonardo Pavoletti Dzhozef Liteta Travmirovannye Alessandro Dzanoli Diskvalifitsirovannye Kristian Kabazel CHAMP
Match center
Cagliari
D W L W L
03.05 10:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:0 BolognaBologna
27.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 3:2 AtalantaAtalanta
17.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:3 InterInter
11.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:0 CremoneseCremonese
04.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:2 SassuoloSassuolo
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Udinese
W D L W D
02.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:0 TorinoTorino
27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:3 LazioLazio
18.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:1 ParmaParma
11.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 3:0 AC MilanAC Milan
06.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:0 ComoComo
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCagliari - Udinese

Cagliari
3 matches total
Udinese
Cagliari: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Udinese: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Udinese 0:2 (25.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 03.05 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (05.10 10:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 2

Match history

05.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari
1:1
Udinese
03.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari
1:2
Udinese
25.10 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari
0:2
Udinese
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Cagliari
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Udinese
Cagliari Team comparison Udinese
35 Games 35
9 Wins 13
10 Draws 8
16 Losses 14
36 Scored 43
49 Conceded 46
37 Points 47
76.09 Attacks 88.29
31.29 Dangerous attacks 38.76
0 Big chances 0
9.66 Shots on goal 11.63
3.2 Shots on target 3.86
06 Sendoffs 0.03 Goly Adam Buksa Khassan Kamara 0:1 56' Idrissa Geye Kinan Devis 0:2 90+6' Nakazaniya Kingsli Ekhizibue 44' Ze Pedru 53' Kinan Devis 90+2'

Kalyari Udineze 35 Games 35 9 Wins 13 10 Draws 8 16 Losses 14 36 Scored 43 49 Conceded 46 37 Points 47 76.09 Attacks 88.29 31.29 Dangerous attacks 38.76 0 Big chances 0 9.66 Shots on goal 11.63 3.2 Udary v stvor 3.86 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 3.6 Uglovye 4.51 1.66 Offsaydy 1.43 14.14 Foly 13.69 45.14 % vladeniya myachom 45.63 2.14 Warnings 1.89 0.06 Sendoffs 0.03 Goly Adam Buksa Khassan Kamara 0:1 56' Idrissa Geye Kinan Devis 0:2 90+6' Nakazaniya Kingsli Ekhizibue 44' Ze Pedru 53' Kinan Devis 90+2'