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Serie A
Serie A Italy
15.03.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Como - AS Roma

Italy Football
Como
Como
2 : 1
Finished
AS Roma
AS Roma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Como - AS Roma March 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 3.23 / 2 3.91
  • 1X2 market: Como 46.4% / X 29.3% / AS Roma 24.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 46.4%
X 29.3%
2 24.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 41.6%
Under 2.5 58.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.03.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Como - AS Roma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.93 market consensus · line only
X 3.23 market consensus · line only
1 2.05 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.78 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.36 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.68 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.07 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.79 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.08 48.1%
X 3.28 30.5%
4.12 24.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% 2.11 47.4% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.36 29.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
3.85 26.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 3.70 27.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.82 55.0%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5% 1.99 50.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 2.06 48.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.75 57.1% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Como
W W W D L
07.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 2:1 CagliariCagliari
28.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 3:1 LecceLecce
21.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 2:0 JuventusJuventus
18.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 AC MilanAC Milan
14.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
AS Roma
L D W D W
08.03 17:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:2 GenoaGenoa
01.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:3 JuventusJuventus
22.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:0 CremoneseCremonese
15.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:2 NapoliNapoli
09.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 CagliariCagliari
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyComo - AS Roma

Como
1 matches total
AS Roma
Como: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
AS Roma: 1 (100%)
Biggest win AS Roma 0:1 (15.12 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 15.12 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

15.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Como
0:1
AS Roma