Serie A
Serie A Italy
14.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Como - Bologna

Italy Futbol
Como
Como
2 : 2
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Como - Bologna 14 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.18 / X 3.03 / 2 2.61
  • 1X2 market: Como 30.6% / X 32.1% / Bologna 37.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 30.6%
X 32.1%
2 37.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 38.2%
Under 2.5 61.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Como - Bologna

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.61 market consensus · line only
X 3.03 market consensus · line only
1 3.18 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.40 market consensus · line only
12 1.43 market consensus · line only
1X 1.55 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.18 31.5%
Х 3.03 33.0%
П2 2.61 38.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.55 64.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.54 39.4%
ТМ 2.5 1.57 63.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.15 46.5%
П2 1.76 56.8%
Match center
Como
L
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 0:1 UdineseUdinese
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyComo - Bologna

Como
0 matches total
Bologna
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history