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Serie A
Serie A Italy
27.04.2025 10:30 UTC Match prediction
27.04.2025 10:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Como - Genoa

Italy Football
Como
Como
1 : 0
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Como - Genoa April 27, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.91 / X 3.57 / 2 4.46
  • 1X2 market: Como 50.9% / X 27.3% / Genoa 21.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 50.9%
X 27.3%
2 21.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 46.7%
Under 2.5 53.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.04.2025 10:30 UTC
Match center

Como - Genoa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.46 market consensus · line only
X 3.57 market consensus · line only
1 1.91 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.98 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.91 52.4%
X 3.57 28.0%
4.46 22.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.98 50.5%
home_away 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.24 80.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.09 47.9%
Under 2.5 1.83 54.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.38 72.5%
3.24 30.9%
Match center
Como
W W W L L
19.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 3:0 LecceLecce
13.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Como 1:0 TorinoTorino
05.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 3:1 Monza
31.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:5 LazioLazio
25.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 0:1 TorinoTorino
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Genoa
L D W L L
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 LazioLazio
13.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
04.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:0 UdineseUdinese
31.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
27.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:3 LazioLazio
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyComo - Genoa

Como
0 matches total
Genoa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history