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Serie A
Serie A Italy
15.09.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
15.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Como - Genoa

Italy Football
Como
Como
1 : 1
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Como - Genoa September 15, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / X 3.60 / 2 5.48
  • 1X2 market: Como 56.2% / X 26.5% / Genoa 17.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 56.2%
X 26.4%
2 17.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 43.2%
Under 2.5 56.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Como - Genoa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.49 market consensus · line only
X 3.60 market consensus · line only
1 1.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.65 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.23 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.72 58.1%
X 3.61 27.7%
5.66 17.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.68 59.5% 1.71 58.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0%
5.40 18.5% 5.50 18.2% 5.72 17.5% 5.00 20.0% 5.75 17.4% 5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.69 59.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.14 46.7% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 2.15 46.5% 2.21 45.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.13 47.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.15 87.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
Como
L W L D W
30.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Como 0:1 BolognaBologna
24.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Como 2:0 LazioLazio
23.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 0:2 InterInter
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
10.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 3:1 CagliariCagliari
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Genoa
L D W L D
31.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:1 JuventusJuventus
23.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 LecceLecce
24.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:1 BolognaBologna
17.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:3 AtalantaAtalanta
11.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:2 NapoliNapoli
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyComo - Genoa

Como
1 matches total
Genoa
Como: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Como 1:0 (27.04 10:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 27.04 10:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

27.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Como
1:0
Genoa