Serie A
Serie A Italy
29.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Como - Hellas Verona

Italy Futbol
Como
Como
3 : 2
Finished
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Como - Hellas Verona 29 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.93 / X 3.46 / 2 4.46
  • 1X2 market: Como 50.2% / X 28.0% / Hellas Verona 21.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 50.2%
X 28.0%
2 21.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 45.4%
Under 2.5 54.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.09.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Como - Hellas Verona

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.46 market consensus · line only
X 3.46 market consensus · line only
1 1.93 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.94 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.93 51.8%
Х 3.46 28.9%
П2 4.46 22.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.94 51.6%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.24 80.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.14 46.7%
ТМ 2.5 1.78 56.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.39 71.9%
П2 3.19 31.4%
Match center
Como
W D L
24.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 3:2 AtalantaAtalanta
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 2:2 BolognaBologna
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 0:1 UdineseUdinese
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.7 Conceded
4 Points
Hellas Verona
L L W
20.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:3 TorinoTorino
16.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:2 LazioLazio
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:0 GenoaGenoa
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.7 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyComo - Hellas Verona

Como
0 matches total
Hellas Verona
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history