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Serie A
Serie A Italy
28.02.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
28.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Como - Lecce

Italy Football
Como
Como
3 : 1
Finished
Lecce
Lecce

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Como - Lecce February 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 4.66 / 2 9.31
  • 1X2 market: Como 69.3% / X 20.5% / Lecce 10.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 69.4%
X 20.4%
2 10.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 49.5%
Under 2.5 50.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Como - Lecce

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.34 market consensus · line only
X 4.67 market consensus · line only
1 1.37 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.07 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.08 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.38 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.00 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.26 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.38 72.5%
X 4.87 20.5%
9.72 10.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4%
X 4.33 23.1% 4.80 20.8% 4.96 20.2% 4.40 22.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.70 21.3%
9.60 10.4% 9.20 10.9% 9.50 10.5% 8.50 11.8% 9.50 10.5% 9.50 10.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.62 61.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1%
yes 2.20 45.5% 2.37 42.2% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.42 41.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.09 91.7% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Como
W D L D W
21.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 2:0 JuventusJuventus
18.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 AC MilanAC Milan
14.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
01.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 0:0 AtalantaAtalanta
24.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 6:0 TorinoTorino
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
Lecce
L W W L D
21.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:2 InterInter
16.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:0 CagliariCagliari
08.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:1 UdineseUdinese
01.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 TorinoTorino
24.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:0 LazioLazio
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyComo - Lecce

Como
2 matches total
Lecce
Como: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lecce: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Como 3:0 (27.12 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 27.12 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

6 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 6

Match history

27.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como
3:0
Lecce
19.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como
3:0
Lecce