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Serie A
Serie A Italy
19.10.2024 13:00 UTC Match prediction
19.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Como - Parma

Italy Futbol
Como
Como
1 : 1
Finished
Parma
Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Como - Parma 19 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 3.94 / 2 4.72
  • 1X2 market: Como 54.8% / X 24.6% / Parma 20.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 54.8%
X 24.6%
2 20.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 60.1%
Under 2.5 39.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Como - Parma

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.72 market consensus · line only
X 3.94 market consensus · line only
1 1.77 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.15 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.77 56.5%
Х 3.94 25.4%
П2 4.72 21.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.15 46.5%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.61 62.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.43 41.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.33 75.2%
П2 3.53 28.3%
Match center
Como
L W W D L
04.10 16:30 UTC Serie A
Como 1:3 NapoliNapoli
29.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 3:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
24.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 3:2 AtalantaAtalanta
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 2:2 BolognaBologna
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 0:1 UdineseUdinese
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
7 Points
Parma
D L D L
06.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 BolognaBologna
30.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:3 CagliariCagliari
21.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:2 LecceLecce
16.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:3 UdineseUdinese
0 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.5 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyComo - Parma

Como
0 matches total
Parma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history