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Serie A
Serie A Italy
37-й тур 17.05.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
17.05.2026 10:00 UTC 37-й тур
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Como - Parma

Italy Futbol
Como
Como
1 : 0
Finished
Parma
Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Como - Parma 17 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / X 5.55 / 2 11.25
  • 1X2 market: Como 74.5% / X 17.1% / Parma 8.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 74.5%
X 17.1%
2 8.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 57.9%
Under 2.5 42.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: Como

Main outcome Como
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 50.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

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Match center
Stadium Джузеппе Синигалья (Комо, Италия), 11 365 зрителей (84% при вместимости 13 602)
Referee Лука Цуфферли (Италия)
Start 17.05.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Como - Parma

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Комо - Парма, 17 мая 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Италии по футболу (Серия A) 2025-2026, 37-й тур. Комо - Парма, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:0
Events 14
Statistics 22
Lineups 47
min Event Player Team
53' 53' Substitution 1 | M. Caqueret | assist/sub out: J. Rodriguez Maxence Caqueret Como
58' 58' Normal Goal | A. Moreno Alberto Moreno Como
59' 59' Substitution 1 | G. Strefezza | assist/sub out: N. Elphege G. Strefezza Parma
65' 65' Yellow Card | A. Moreno Alberto Moreno Como
70' 70' Substitution 2 | C. Ordonez | assist/sub out: O. Sorensen Christian OrdoГ±ez Parma
71' 71' Substitution 3 | F. Carboni | assist/sub out: E. Valeri F. Carboni Parma
71' 71' Substitution 4 | H. Nicolussi Caviglia | assist/sub out: N. Estevez Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Parma
71' 71' Substitution 2 | I. Van der Brempt | assist/sub out: I. Smolcic Ignace Van der Brempt Como
Metric Como Parma SStats
Ожидаемые голы (xG) 2.77 0.43 final
Заблокированные удары 11 0 final
Удары мимо 5 0 final
Удары в створ 7 2 final
Удары всего 23 2 final
Фолы совершено 10 14 final
Желтые карточки 2 0 final
Офсайды 2 4 final
Como #1 Jean Butez, #11 A. Douvikas, #18 Alberto Moreno, #23 M. Perrone, #38 A. Diao, #2 Marc Kempf, #20 M. Baturina, #33 Lucas Da Cunha, #6 Maxence Caqueret, #14 Jacobo Ramón, #77 Ignace Van der Brempt
Parma #5 Lautaro Valenti, #7 G. Strefezza, #29 F. Carboni, #31 Zion Suzuki, #9 Mateo Pellegrino, #24 Christian OrdoГ±ez, #37 Mariano Troilo, #39 Alessandro Circati, #41 Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, #16 Mandela Keita, #15 Enrico Delprato
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Diao Como football.player.assists 0
A. Diao Como football.player.minutes_played 90
A. Douvikas Como football.player.assists 0
A. Douvikas Como football.player.minutes_played 82
Alberto Moreno Como football.player.assists 0
Alberto Moreno Como football.player.goals 1
Alberto Moreno Como football.player.minutes_played 90
Álvaro Morata Como football.player.assists 0
Álvaro Morata Como football.player.minutes_played 8
Diego Carlos Como football.player.assists 0
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.62 market consensus · line only
X 5.55 market consensus · line only
1 1.27 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.70 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.04 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.64 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.95 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.26 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.69 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.08 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
Х 5.10 19.6% 6.01 16.6% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.80 17.2% 5.50 18.2%
П2 11.50 8.7% 12.80 7.8% 10.00 10.0% 12.00 8.3% 12.00 8.3% 11.00 9.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.73 57.8% 1.66 60.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.65 60.6% 1.64 61.0% 1.70 58.8%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.08 48.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 3.55 28.2% 3.92 25.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.07 93.5% 1.03 97.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.04 96.2% 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0 — 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.25 — 1.08 92.6%
ТБ 1.5 1.20 83.3% 1.16 86.2%
ТБ 1.75 — 1.22 82.0%
ТБ 2.0 — 1.26 79.4%
ТБ 2.25 — 1.51 66.2%
ТБ 2.5 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 3.5 2.60 38.5% —
ТБ 4.5 4.75 21.1% —
ТМ 0.5 10.00 10.0% —
ТМ 1.5 4.33 23.1% —
ТМ 2.5 2.20 45.5% —
ТМ 3.5 1.48 67.6% —
ТМ 4.5 1.18 84.8% —
Match center
Como

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Parma

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Джейден Аддай Николас Пас Алекс Валле Травмированные Матия Фриган Адриан Бернабе Гаэтано Ористанио Дисквалифицированные Саша Бричги CHAMP
Match center
Como
W D W L L
10.05 10:30 UTC Serie A
Como 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
02.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Como 0:0 NapoliNapoli
26.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 2:0 GenoaGenoa
17.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Como 1:2 SassuoloSassuolo
12.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 3:4 InterInter
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Parma
L L W W D
10.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:3 AS RomaAS Roma
03.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:2 InterInter
25.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 PisaPisa
18.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 UdineseUdinese
12.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:1 NapoliNapoli
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyComo - Parma

Como
3 matches total
Parma
Como: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:2 (66.7%)
Parma: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Como 1:0 (03.05 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 19.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (19.10 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

25.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como
0:0
Parma
03.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como
1:0
Parma
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como
1:1
Parma
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Como
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Parma
Como Team comparison Parma
36 Игры 36
18 Победы 10
11 Ничьи 12
7 Поражения 14
60 Забито 27
28 Пропущено 45
65 Очки 42
103.24 Атаки 82.39
48.91 Опасные атаки 38.44
0 Голевые моменты 0
14.22 Удары по воротам 10.19
5 Удары в створ 2.69
ления 0.14 Голы Альберто Морено Хесус Родригес 1:0 58' Наказания Альберто Морено 65' Хакобо Рамон 89' VAR Матео Пельегрино 74'

Комо Парма 36 Игры 36 18 Победы 10 11 Ничьи 12 7 Поражения 14 60 Забито 27 28 Пропущено 45 65 Очки 42 103.24 Атаки 82.39 48.91 Опасные атаки 38.44 0 Голевые моменты 0 14.22 Удары по воротам 10.19 5 Удары в створ 2.69 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 4.19 Угловые 4 1.14 Оффсайды 1.25 13.56 Фолы 10.72 61.08 % владения мячом 44.19 2.08 Предупреждения 1.64 0.08 Удаления 0.14 Голы Альберто Морено Хесус Родригес 1:0 58' Наказания Альберто Морено 65' Хакобо Рамон 89' VAR Матео Пельегрино 74'