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Serie A
Serie A Italy
28.11.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction
28.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Como - Sassuolo

Italy Football
Como
Como
2 : 0
Finished
Sassuolo
Sassuolo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Como - Sassuolo November 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.72 / X 3.67 / 2 5.10
  • 1X2 market: Como 55.4% / X 26.0% / Sassuolo 18.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 55.4%
X 26.0%
2 18.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 50.7%
Under 2.5 49.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Como - Sassuolo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.11 market consensus · line only
X 3.67 market consensus · line only
1 1.72 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.15 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.18 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.65 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.45 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.75 57.1%
X 3.68 27.2%
5.26 19.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.65 27.4% 3.82 26.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0%
5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6% 5.36 18.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.30 18.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.93 51.8% 2.03 49.3% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.79 55.9% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.17 46.1%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8%
Match center
Como
W D D W D
24.11 17:30 UTC Serie A
Como 5:1 TorinoTorino
08.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 0:0 CagliariCagliari
01.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Como 0:0 NapoliNapoli
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Como 3:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
25.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Como 0:0 ParmaParma
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
9 Points
Sassuolo
D W L W L
24.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:2 PisaPisa
09.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:0 AtalantaAtalanta
03.11 17:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:2 GenoaGenoa
30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:1 CagliariCagliari
26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyComo - Sassuolo

Como
0 matches total
Sassuolo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history