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Serie A
Serie A Italy
08.01.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction
08.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cremonese - Cagliari

Italy Football
Cremonese
Cremonese
2 : 2
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cremonese - Cagliari January 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cremonese.

Line favourite market consensus: Cremonese. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.49 / X 2.93 / 2 3.27
  • 1X2 market: Cremonese 38.3% / X 32.5% / Cagliari 29.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 38.3%
X 32.5%
2 29.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 36.7%
Under 2.5 63.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Cremonese - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.28 market consensus · line only
X 2.94 market consensus · line only
1 2.49 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.55 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.35 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.14 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.60 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.51 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.73 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.51 39.8%
X 2.98 33.6%
3.40 29.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.42 41.3% 2.44 41.0% 2.58 38.8% 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0%
X 2.92 34.3% 2.95 33.9% 3.04 32.9% 2.90 34.5% 2.92 34.3% 2.80 35.7%
3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.36 29.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.70 58.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.72 58.1%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.06 48.5% 2.02 49.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.58 63.3%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.43 69.9% 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Cremonese
L L D L W
04.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
28.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:2 NapoliNapoli
20.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:0 LazioLazio
13.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:1 TorinoTorino
07.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 2:0 LecceLecce
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
4 Points
Cagliari
L W D L W
02.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
27.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:1 TorinoTorino
21.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:2 PisaPisa
13.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:2 AtalantaAtalanta
07.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCremonese - Cagliari

Cremonese
0 matches total
Cagliari
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history