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Serie A Italy

16.03.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction

16.03.2026 19:45 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Cremonese - Fiorentina

Italy Football

Cremonese

1 : 4

Finished

Fiorentina

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cremonese - Fiorentina March 16, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.11 / X 3.39 / 2 1.95
1X2 market: Cremonese 23.1% / X 28.0% / Fiorentina 48.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 54.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 23.1%

X 28.1%

2 48.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%

Over 2.5 46.0%

Under 2.5 54.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 16.03.2026 19:45 UTC

Match center

Cremonese - Fiorentina

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.95 market consensus · line only

X 3.40 market consensus · line only

1 4.13 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.24 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.88 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.94 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.78 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.89 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	4.30 23.3%
X	3.45 29.0%
	1.97 50.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	4.10 24.4%	4.20 23.8%	4.30 23.3%	3.80 26.3%	4.00 25.0%	4.35 23.0%
X	3.30 30.3%	3.45 29.0%	3.54 28.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%
	1.90 52.6%	1.96 51.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.98 50.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.90 52.6%	1.96 51.0%	1.87 53.5%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.88 53.2%	1.87 53.5%	1.85 54.1%	1.96 51.0%
yes	1.83 54.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%	1.87 53.5%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.22 82.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.20 83.3%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.31 76.3%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.90 52.6%	1.83 54.6%