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Serie A
Serie A Italy
28.12.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
28.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cremonese - Napoli

Italy Football
Cremonese
Cremonese
0 : 2
Finished
Napoli
Napoli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cremonese - Napoli December 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.47 / X 3.84 / 2 1.58
  • 1X2 market: Cremonese 14.8% / X 24.8% / Napoli 60.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 14.7%
X 24.9%
2 60.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 45.5%
Under 2.5 54.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Cremonese - Napoli

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.58 market consensus · line only
X 3.85 market consensus · line only
1 6.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 2.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.03 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.10 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.91 14.5%
X 3.90 25.6%
1.58 63.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
6.40 15.6% 6.30 15.9% 6.55 15.3% 6.00 16.7% 6.25 16.0% 6.80 14.7%
X 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.03 24.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6%
1.56 64.1% 1.59 62.9% 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.74 57.5%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.17 46.1% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.38 42.0% 2.43 41.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8%
Match center
Cremonese
D L W W L
20.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:0 LazioLazio
13.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:1 TorinoTorino
07.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 2:0 LecceLecce
01.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 3:1 BolognaBologna
23.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:3 AS RomaAS Roma
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Napoli
L W W W L
14.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 0:1 UdineseUdinese
07.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:1 JuventusJuventus
30.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
22.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 3:1 AtalantaAtalanta
09.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 0:2 BolognaBologna
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCremonese - Napoli

Cremonese
0 matches total
Napoli
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history