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Serie A
Serie A Italy
21.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cremonese - Parma

Italy Football
Cremonese
Cremonese
0 : 0
Finished
Parma
Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cremonese - Parma September 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Parma.

Line favourite market consensus: Parma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.75 / X 3.09 / 2 2.74
  • 1X2 market: Cremonese 34.6% / X 30.8% / Parma 34.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 34.6%
X 30.8%
2 34.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 44.3%
Under 2.5 55.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Cremonese - Parma

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.74 market consensus · line only
X 3.10 market consensus · line only
1 2.76 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.45 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.47 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.70 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.82 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.87 34.8%
X 3.13 32.0%
2.78 36.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair
2.72 36.8% 2.80 35.7% 2.85 35.1% 2.63 38.0% 2.82 35.5% 2.75 36.4%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.19 31.4% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8% 3.00 33.3%
2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.84 35.2% 2.75 36.4% 2.72 36.8% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.90 52.6% 2.01 49.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.46 68.5% 1.46 68.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%
Match center
Cremonese
D W W
15.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
29.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 3:2 SassuoloSassuolo
23.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 2:1 AC MilanAC Milan
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Parma
L D L W D
13.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:2 CagliariCagliari
30.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
24.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:2 JuventusJuventus
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 3:2 AtalantaAtalanta
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 NapoliNapoli
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCremonese - Parma

Cremonese
0 matches total
Parma
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history