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Serie A
Serie A Italy
19.04.2026 10:30 UTC Match prediction Prediction
19.04.2026 10:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cremonese - Torino

Italy Football
Stadium Stadio Giovanni Zini
Capacity 20 034
Cremonese
Cremonese
0 : 0
Finished
Torino
Torino
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Torino — 40%

1 · Cremonese31.8%
X · draw28.4%
2 · Torino39.8%

Model estimate: win Cremonese 31.8%, draw 28.4%, win Torino 39.8%. Model favourite — Torino.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cremonese - Torino April 19, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Torino.

Strongest: Torino - market and Glicko agree
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.77 / X 3.03 / 2 2.75
  • 1X2 market: Cremonese 34.3% / X 31.3% / Torino 34.4%
  • Glicko: Cremonese 31.8% / X 28.4% / Torino 39.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 35.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 34.2%
X 31.3%
2 34.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 42.6%
Under 2.5 57.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: X

Main outcome X
Agreement 4/4
Confidence 29.6%
Total Under 2.5
Score 1:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center
Start 19.04.2026 10:30 UTC
Stadium Stadio Giovanni Zini (Cremona)
Capacity 20,034

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🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Torino 40%
💹 Market Torino 3444%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Cremonese - Torino

Cremonese: Win 2.75 Cremonese: Draw 3.10 Torino Win: 2.70 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 2.20 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.67 Individualnyy total golov Cremonese bolshe 1.5: 2.75 Individualnyy total golov Cremonese menshe 1.5: 1.40 Individualnyy total golov Torino bo…

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:0
Events 13
Statistics 24
Lineups 45
min Event Player Team
60' 60' Substitution 1 | Romano Floriani Mussolini | assist/sub out: Alessio Zerbin Cremonese
60' 60' Substitution 2 | Jari Vandeputte | assist/sub out: David Okereke Cremonese
62' 62' Goal Disallowed - Foul | Federico Baschirotto Cremonese
68' 68' Substitution 1 | Guillermo Maripan | assist/sub out: Luca Marianucci Bilal El Khannouss Torino
68' 68' Substitution 2 | Giovanni Simeone | assist/sub out: Alieu Njie Torino
73' 73' Substitution 3 | Alberto Grassi | assist/sub out: Martín Payero Cremonese
76' 76' Substitution 3 | Nikola Vlašić | assist/sub out: Faustino Anjorin R. Dias Torino
76' 76' Substitution 4 | Rafael Obrador | assist/sub out: Cristiano Biraghi Torino
Metric Cremonese Torino SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 0.64 0.14 final
Zablokirovannye udary 5 1 final
Shots off target 5 2 final
Shots on target 4 1 final
Udary vsego 14 4 final
Fouls soversheno 11 12 final
Zheltye kartochki 0 3 final
Offsides 1 1 final
Cremonese #1 A. Paleari, #10 N. Vlasic, #13 G. Maripán, #16 M. Pedersen, #18 G. Simeone, #19 C. Adams, #22 C. Casadei, #23 Saúl Coco, #33 Rafael Obrador, #66 G. Gineitis, #77 E. Ebosse
Torino #1 Emil Audero, #3 Giuseppe Pezzella, #5 Sebastiano Luperto, #6 F. Baschirotto, #22 Romano Floriani Mussolini, #24 Filippo Terracciano, #27 Jari Vandeputte, #33 Alberto Grassi, #38 W. Bondo, #90 Federico Bonazzoli, #99 Antonio Sanabria
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Njie Cremonese football.player.assists 0
A. Njie Cremonese Edinoborstva vyigrano 2
A. Njie Cremonese Seyvy 0
A. Njie Cremonese football.player.minutes_played 21
A. Njie Cremonese Klyuchevye pasy 2
A. Njie Cremonese Reyting (staryy) 6.5
A. Njie Cremonese Otbory vsego 1
A. Njie Cremonese Yellow cards 1
A. Paleari Cremonese football.player.assists 0
A. Paleari Cremonese Dribling popytki 2
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Cremonese 33.2% 31.8%
Draw 30.9% 28.4% draw risk
Torino 35.9% 39.8% market and model agree
xG - 1.06 : 1.22
Total 2.5 Over 35.2% - Under 64.8%
Model check - - Difference 0.04
Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.04

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 31.8% / 28.4% / 39.8% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,411 / 1,487 Cremonese / Torino
RD 73 / 72 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.75 market consensus · no value · model 39.8%
X 3.03 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.77 market consensus · no value · model 31.8%
Double chance
X2 1.43 market consensus · no value · model 68.2%
12 1.36 market consensus · no value · model 71.6%
1X 1.45 market consensus · no value · model 60.2%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.69 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.84 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · no value · model 35.2%
Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · value +7.6% · model 64.8%
Both teams to score
No 1.88 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.72 36.8% 2.92 34.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.63 38.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7%
X 2.98 33.6% 3.20 31.3% 3.13 32.0% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 2.95 33.9%
2.72 36.8% 2.61 38.3% 2.86 35.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.82 35.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.09 91.7% — 1.04 96.2%
Over 0.75 — — 1.06 94.3%
Over 1.0 — — 1.08 92.6%
Over 1.25 — — 1.23 81.3%
Over 1.5 1.40 71.4% — 1.37 73.0%
Over 1.75 — — 1.48 67.6%
Over 2.25 — 1.97 50.8% —
Over 2.5 2.20 45.5% — —
Over 3.5 4.00 25.0% — —
Over 4.5 8.00 12.5% — —
Under 0.5 7.00 14.3% — —
Under 1.5 2.90 34.5% — —
Under 2.25 — 1.93 51.8% —
Under 2.5 1.65 60.6% — —
Under 3.5 1.22 82.0% — —
Under 4.5 1.07 93.5% — —
Match center
Cremonese
Founded 1903
Torino
Founded 1906
Match center
Cremonese

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Torino
ZS Zannetos Savva Jumpers knee
Cremonese Founded: 1903
Torino Founded: 1906
Match center
Cremonese
L L W L L
11.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:1 CagliariCagliari
05.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:2 BolognaBologna
21.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 2:0 ParmaParma
16.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:4 FiorentinaFiorentina
08.03 11:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:2 LecceLecce
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Torino
W W L W L
11.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
05.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 PisaPisa
21.03 17:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:3 AC MilanAC Milan
13.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 4:1 ParmaParma
06.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:2 NapoliNapoli
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCremonese - Torino

Cremonese
1 matches total
Torino
Cremonese: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Torino: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Torino 0:1 (13.12 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 13.12 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

13.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese
0:1
Torino
Match center
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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.