Serie A
Serie A Italy
06.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Empoli - Cagliari

Italy Futbol
Empoli
Empoli
0 : 0
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Empoli - Cagliari 6 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Empoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Empoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.58 / X 3.15 / 2 3.10
  • 1X2 market: Empoli 37.7% / X 30.9% / Cagliari 31.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 37.7%
X 30.9%
2 31.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%
Over 2.5 42.5%
Under 2.5 57.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Empoli - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.10 market consensus · line only
X 3.15 market consensus · line only
1 2.58 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.58 38.8%
Х 3.15 31.8%
П2 3.10 32.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.56 64.1%
home_away 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.41 70.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.27 44.1%
ТМ 2.5 1.68 59.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.76 56.8%
П2 2.14 46.7%
Match center
Empoli
L D L L D
30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Empoli 0:3 InterInter
27.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Empoli 1:1 ParmaParma
20.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Empoli 0:1 NapoliNapoli
06.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Empoli 1:2 LazioLazio
29.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Empoli 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
2 Points
Cagliari
L L W D W
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 BolognaBologna
25.10 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 UdineseUdinese
20.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 3:2 TorinoTorino
06.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:1 JuventusJuventus
30.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 3:2 ParmaParma
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEmpoli - Cagliari

Empoli
1 matches total
Cagliari
Empoli: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cagliari: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Empoli 2:0 (20.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 20.09 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

20.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Empoli
2:0
Cagliari