Serie A
Serie A Italy
29.09.2024 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Empoli - Fiorentina

Italy Futbol
Empoli
Empoli
0 : 0
Finished
Fiorentina
Fiorentina

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Empoli - Fiorentina 29 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.63 / X 3.27 / 2 2.24
  • 1X2 market: Empoli 26.8% / X 29.8% / Fiorentina 43.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 26.8%
X 29.8%
2 43.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 44.2%
Under 2.5 55.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.09.2024 16:00 UTC
Match center

Empoli - Fiorentina

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.24 market consensus · line only
X 3.27 market consensus · line only
1 3.63 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.71 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.63 27.6%
Х 3.27 30.6%
П2 2.24 44.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.32 75.8%
home_away 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.71 58.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.20 45.5%
ТМ 2.5 1.74 57.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.54 39.4%
П2 1.56 64.1%
Match center
Empoli
W D
20.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Empoli 2:0 CagliariCagliari
14.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Empoli 0:0 JuventusJuventus
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
4 Points
Fiorentina
W L D
22.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:1 LazioLazio
15.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:3 AtalantaAtalanta
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:2 Monza
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEmpoli - Fiorentina

Empoli
0 matches total
Fiorentina
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history