Serie A Italy

04.05.2025 10:30 UTC Match prediction

04.05.2025 10:30 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Empoli - Lazio

Italy Futbol

Empoli

0 : 1

Finished

Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Empoli - Lazio 4 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.25 / X 3.68 / 2 1.89
1X2 market: Empoli 22.7% / X 26.2% / Lazio 51.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%

1 22.7%

X 26.2%

2 51.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%

Over 2.5 51.2%

Under 2.5 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 04.05.2025 10:30 UTC

Match center

Empoli - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.89 market consensus · line only

X 3.68 market consensus · line only

1 4.25 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.25 market consensus · line only

12 1.31 market consensus · line only

1X 1.97 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	4.25 23.5%
Х	3.68 27.2%
П2	1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.25 80.0%
home_away	1.31 76.3%
home_draw	1.97 50.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5	1.90 52.6%
ТМ 2.5	1.99 50.3%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	3.11 32.2%
П2	1.40 71.4%

Match center

Empoli

L D L D L

27.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Empoli 1:2 Fiorentina

20.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Empoli 2:2 Venezia

14.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Empoli 0:3 Napoli

06.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Empoli 0:0 Cagliari

30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A

Empoli 0:3 Inter

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.6 Scored

2.0 Conceded

2 Points

Lazio

D W D W W

28.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Lazio 2:2 Parma

23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A

Lazio 2:0 Genoa

13.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Lazio 1:1 AS Roma

06.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Lazio 1:0 Atalanta

31.10 19:45 UTC Serie A

Lazio 5:1 Como

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

2.2 Scored

0.8 Conceded

11 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyEmpoli - Lazio

Empoli

1 matches total

Lazio

Empoli: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Lazio: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Lazio 1:2 (06.10 13:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 06.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

06.10 13:00 UTC

Serie A

Empoli

1:2

Lazio