Serie A
Serie A Italy
20.10.2024 10:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Empoli - Napoli

Italy Futbol
Empoli
Empoli
0 : 1
Finished
Napoli
Napoli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Empoli - Napoli 20 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.58 / X 3.67 / 2 1.72
  • 1X2 market: Empoli 17.4% / X 26.4% / Napoli 56.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 17.3%
X 26.4%
2 56.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 44.9%
Under 2.5 55.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.10.2024 10:30 UTC
Match center

Empoli - Napoli

Form 4/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.72 market consensus · line only
X 3.67 market consensus · line only
1 5.58 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 2.22 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.58 17.9%
Х 3.67 27.3%
П2 1.72 58.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 2.22 45.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.16 46.3%
ТМ 2.5 1.76 56.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.10 24.4%
П2 1.27 78.7%
Match center
Empoli
L D W D
06.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Empoli 1:2 LazioLazio
29.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Empoli 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
20.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Empoli 2:0 CagliariCagliari
14.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Empoli 0:0 JuventusJuventus
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.5 Conceded
5 Points
Napoli
W W D W
04.10 16:30 UTC Serie A
Napoli 3:1 ComoComo
29.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:0 Monza
21.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 0:0 JuventusJuventus
15.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 4:0 CagliariCagliari
3 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.3 Scored
0.3 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEmpoli - Napoli

Empoli
0 matches total
Napoli
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history