Match center
Start
06.10.2024 18:45 UTC
06.10.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Fiorentina - AC Milan
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Fiorentina - AC Milan 6 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.
Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.65 / X 3.69 / 2 2.07
- 1X2 market: Fiorentina 26.7% / X 26.4% / AC Milan 47.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 2.8%
1
26.6%
X
26.4%
2
47.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5
56.7%
Under 2.5
43.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Fiorentina - AC Milan
Form
4/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.07
market consensus · line only
X
3.69
market consensus · line only
1
3.65
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.33
market consensus · line only
12
1.31
market consensus · line only
1X
1.83
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.71
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.24
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.65 27.4% |
| Х | 3.69 27.1% |
| П2 | 2.07 48.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_away | 1.31 76.3% |
| home_draw | 1.83 54.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.71 58.5% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.24 44.6% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.69 37.2% |
| П2 | 1.51 66.2% |
Match center
Fiorentina
D
W
L
D
29.09 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:0
Empoli
22.09 10:30 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
2:1
Lazio
Lazio
15.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
2:3
Atalanta
Atalanta
01.09 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
2:2
Monza
1
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
5
Points
AC Milan
W
W
W
27.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
3:0
Lecce
Lecce
22.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
2:1
Inter
Inter
14.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
4:0
Venezia
3
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
0.3
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - AC Milan
Fiorentina
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals