Match center
Start
11.01.2026 14:00 UTC
11.01.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Fiorentina - AC Milan
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Fiorentina - AC Milan 11 января 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.
Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.46 / X 3.35 / 2 2.16
- 1X2 market: Fiorentina 27.5% / X 28.5% / AC Milan 44.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 50.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
27.5%
X
28.4%
2
44.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5
50.5%
Under 2.5
49.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Fiorentina - AC Milan
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
3
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.17
market consensus · line only
X
3.35
market consensus · line only
1
3.47
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.31
market consensus · line only
12
1.32
market consensus · line only
1X
1.71
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.32
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.08
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.13
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.29
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.90
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.94
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.11
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.69
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.57 28.0% |
| Х | 3.39 29.5% |
| П2 | 2.21 45.3% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 3.35 29.9% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.66 27.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.50 28.6% |
| Х | 3.40 29.4% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.46 28.9% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.25 30.8% |
| П2 | 2.14 46.7% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.10 47.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.17 46.1% | 2.07 48.3% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.70 58.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.36 73.5% |
| home_draw | 1.67 59.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.73 57.8% |
Match center
Fiorentina
D
W
L
W
L
07.01 19:45 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
2:2
Lazio
Lazio
04.01 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:0
Cremonese
Cremonese
27.12 11:30 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:1
Parma
Parma
21.12 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
5:1
Udinese
Udinese
14.12 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:2
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
7
Points
AC Milan
D
W
W
D
W
08.01 19:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
1:1
Genoa
Genoa
02.01 19:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
1:0
Cagliari
Cagliari
28.12 11:30 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
3:0
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
14.12 11:30 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
2:2
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
08.12 19:45 UTC
Serie A
AC Milan
3:2
Torino
Torino
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
11
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - AC Milan
Fiorentina
3
matches total
Fiorentina: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
AC Milan: 1 (33.4%)
Biggest win
AC Milan 1:2 (19.10 18:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (2:2, 05.04 18:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
2:2 (05.04 18:45 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
19.10 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:2
AC Milan
05.04 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Fiorentina
2:2
AC Milan
06.10 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Fiorentina
2:1
AC Milan