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Serie A
Serie A Italy
27.10.2024 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Fiorentina - AS Roma

Italy Football
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
5 : 1
Finished
AS Roma
AS Roma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - AS Roma October 27, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.45 / X 3.29 / 2 3.17
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 39.7% / X 29.6% / AS Roma 30.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 39.7%
X 29.6%
2 30.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.6%
Over 2.5 47.3%
Under 2.5 52.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.10.2024 19:45 UTC
Match center

Fiorentina - AS Roma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.17 market consensus · line only
X 3.29 market consensus · line only
1 2.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.45 40.8%
X 3.29 30.4%
3.17 31.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.60 62.5%
home_away 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.41 70.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.06 48.5%
Under 2.5 1.85 54.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.72 58.1%
2.21 45.3%
Match center
Fiorentina
W W D W L
20.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 6:0 LecceLecce
06.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:1 AC MilanAC Milan
29.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 0:0 Empoli
22.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:1 LazioLazio
15.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:3 AtalantaAtalanta
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
AS Roma
L D W W D
20.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 InterInter
06.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:1 Monza
29.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:1 Venezia
22.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:0 UdineseUdinese
15.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:1 GenoaGenoa
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - AS Roma

Fiorentina
0 matches total
AS Roma
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history