Match center
Start
05.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
05.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Fiorentina - AS Roma
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Fiorentina - AS Roma October 5, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.
Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.07 / X 3.17 / 2 2.45
- 1X2 market: Fiorentina 31.0% / X 30.0% / AS Roma 38.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
31.0%
X
30.1%
2
38.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5
43.2%
Under 2.5
56.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Fiorentina - AS Roma
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.45
market consensus · line only
X
3.17
market consensus · line only
1
3.08
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.39
market consensus · line only
12
1.36
market consensus · line only
1X
1.56
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.39
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.13
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.44
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.96
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.21
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.68
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.88
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.86
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 3.20 31.3% | |
| X | 3.18 31.5% |
| 2.50 40.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.05 32.8% | 3.05 32.8% | 3.15 31.8% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.15 31.8% | |
| X | 3.10 32.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.32 30.1% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.05 32.8% |
| 2.44 41.0% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.52 39.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.47 40.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.85 54.1% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.95 51.3% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.92 52.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.36 73.5% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.41 70.9% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.37 73.0% |
| home_draw | 1.55 64.5% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.59 62.9% |
Match center
Fiorentina
D
L
L
D
D
28.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:0
Pisa
Pisa
21.09 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:2
Como
Como
13.09 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:3
Napoli
Napoli
31.08 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:0
Torino
Torino
24.08 16:30 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:1
Cagliari
Cagliari
0
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
0.6
Scored
1.2
Conceded
3
Points
AS Roma
W
W
L
W
W
28.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
AS Roma
2:0
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
21.09 10:30 UTC
Serie A
AS Roma
1:0
Lazio
Lazio
14.09 10:30 UTC
Serie A
AS Roma
0:1
Torino
Torino
30.08 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AS Roma
1:0
Pisa
Pisa
23.08 18:45 UTC
Serie A
AS Roma
1:0
Bologna
Bologna
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.2
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - AS Roma
Fiorentina
2
matches total
Fiorentina: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
AS Roma: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Fiorentina 5:1 (27.10 19:45 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
6 goals (5:1, 27.10 19:45 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
04.05 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:1
AS Roma
27.10 19:45 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Fiorentina
5:1
AS Roma
Unlock the full match prediction
The Fiorentina - AS Roma breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form