Serie A Italy

38-й тур 22.05.2026 18:45 UTC Match prediction

22.05.2026 18:45 UTC 38-й тур

Finished

Serie A

Fiorentina - Atalanta

Italy Futbol

Fiorentina

1 : 1

Finished

Atalanta

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Atalanta 22 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.87 / X 3.47 / 2 2.39
1X2 market: Fiorentina 33.1% / X 27.3% / Atalanta 39.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%

1 33.0%

X 27.3%

2 39.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%

Over 2.5 57.3%

Under 2.5 42.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: Atalanta

Main outcome Atalanta

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 37.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

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Match center

Stadium Артемио Франки (Флоренция, Италия), вместимость: 43147

Referee Марио Перри (Рим, Италия)

Start 22.05.2026 18:45 UTC

Match center

Fiorentina - Atalanta

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Фиорентина - Аталанта, 22 мая 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Италии по футболу (Серия A) 2025-2026, 38-й тур. Фиорентина - Аталанта, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:1

Events 14

Statistics 22

Lineups 45

min Event Player Team

39' 39' Normal Goal | R. Piccoli | assist/sub out: M. Brescianini R. Piccoli Fiorentina

46' 46' Substitution 1 | R. Bellanova | assist/sub out: D. Zappacosta R. Bellanova Atalanta

47' 47' Yellow Card | K. Sulemana K. Sulemana Atalanta

60' 60' Yellow Card | H. Ahanor H. Ahanor Atalanta

62' 62' Substitution 2 | L. Samardzic | assist/sub out: C. De Ketelaere L. Samardzic Atalanta

67' 67' Substitution 1 | M. Brescianini | assist/sub out: C. Ndour M. Brescianini Fiorentina

67' 67' Substitution 2 | D. Rugani | assist/sub out: M. Pongracic D. Rugani Fiorentina

67' 67' Substitution 3 | G. Scalvini | assist/sub out: B. Djimsiti G. Scalvini Atalanta

Metric Fiorentina Atalanta SStats

Ожидаемые голы (xG) 0.85 1.38 final

Заблокированные удары 3 3 final

Удары мимо 4 12 final

Удары в створ 4 6 final

Удары всего 11 21 final

Фолы совершено 11 14 final

Желтые карточки 0 2 final

Офсайды 4 0 final

Fiorentina #4 M. Brescianini, #10 A. GuГ°mundsson, #21 R. Gosens, #53 O. Christensen, #3 D. Rugani, #8 R. Mandragora, #91 R. Piccoli, #15 P. Comuzzo, #17 J. Harrison, #80 G. Fabbian, #2 DodГґ

Atalanta #6 Y. Musah, #7 K. Sulemana, #18 G. Raspadori, #57 M. Sportiello, #69 H. Ahanor, #4 Isak Hien, #8 M. Pasalic, #10 L. Samardzic, #15 Marten de Roon, #42 G. Scalvini, #16 R. Bellanova

Player Team Metric SStats

A. GuГ°mundsson Fiorentina football.player.minutes_played 76

C. Ndour Fiorentina football.player.minutes_played 24

D. Rugani Fiorentina football.player.minutes_played 67

Dodô Fiorentina football.player.minutes_played 91

G. Fabbian Fiorentina football.player.minutes_played 91

J. Harrison Fiorentina football.player.minutes_played 91

L. Balbo Fiorentina football.player.minutes_played 15

L. Lezzerini Fiorentina football.player.minutes_played 4

M. Brescianini Fiorentina football.player.assists 1

M. Brescianini Fiorentina football.player.minutes_played 67

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.30 Fonbet · line only

X 1.35 Fonbet · line only

1 7.90 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 3.15 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.17 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.10 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.42 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 3.55 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.62 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 2.75 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 3.00 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
П1	2.70 37.0%	3.02 33.1%	2.80 35.7%	2.88 34.7%	2.95 33.9%	2.80 35.7%
Х	3.45 29.0%	3.60 27.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.50 28.6%	3.45 29.0%	3.40 29.4%
П2	2.44 41.0%	2.46 40.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.35 42.6%	2.37 42.2%	2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Superbet
no	2.40 41.7%	2.42 41.3%	2.45 40.8%	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.50 40.0%	2.45 40.8%	2.39 41.8%	2.50 40.0%
yes	1.53 65.4%	1.51 66.2%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.47 68.0%	1.51 66.2%	1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.36 73.5%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.53 65.4%	1.62 61.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.62 61.7%	1.53 65.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
ТБ 0.5	1.04 96.2%	1.01 99.0%
ТБ 0.75	—	1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0	—	1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.25	—	1.08 92.6%
ТБ 1.5	1.22 82.0%	1.16 86.2%
ТБ 1.75	—	1.22 82.0%
ТБ 2.0	—	1.27 78.7%
ТБ 2.25	—	1.52 65.8%
ТБ 2.5	1.65 60.6%	—
ТБ 3.5	2.60 38.5%	—
ТБ 4.5	4.75 21.1%	—
ТМ 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—
ТМ 1.5	4.20 23.8%	—
ТМ 2.5	2.20 45.5%	—
ТМ 3.5	1.48 67.6%	—
ТМ 4.5	1.18 84.8%	—

Match center

Fiorentina

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Atalanta

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Фабьяно Паризи Якопо Фаццини Травмированные Лоренцо Бернаскони Дисквалифицированные Лука Раньери CHAMP

Match center

Fiorentina

W D L D D

17.05 10:00 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 2:0 Juventus

10.05 13:00 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 0:0 Genoa

04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 0:4 AS Roma

26.04 10:30 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 0:0 Sassuolo

20.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 1:1 Lecce

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.0 Conceded

6 Points

Atalanta

L W D L D

17.05 16:00 UTC Serie A

Atalanta 0:1 Bologna

10.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Atalanta 3:2 AC Milan

02.05 18:45 UTC Serie A

Atalanta 0:0 Genoa

27.04 16:30 UTC Serie A

Atalanta 2:3 Cagliari

18.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Atalanta 1:1 AS Roma

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Atalanta

Fiorentina

2 matches total

Atalanta

Fiorentina: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Atalanta: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Atalanta 0:2 (30.11 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 15.09 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 5

5 Goals conceded 2

Match history

30.11 17:00 UTC

Serie A

Fiorentina

0:2

Atalanta

15.09 13:00 UTC

Serie A

Fiorentina

2:3

Atalanta

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Fiorentina

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Atalanta

37 Игры 37

9 Победы 15

14 Ничьи 13

14 Поражения 9

40 Забито 50

49 Пропущено 35

41 Очки 58

90.08 Атаки 100.24

40.61 Опасные атаки 51.73

0 Голевые моменты 0

12.32 Удары по воротам 14.16

3.43 Удары в створ 4.49

ния 0.05 Голы Роберто Пикколи Марко Брешианини 1:0 39' Пьетро Комуццо 1:1 82' Наказания Камал Сулемана 47' Хонест Аханор 60'

Фиорентина Аталанта 37 Игры 37 9 Победы 15 14 Ничьи 13 14 Поражения 9 40 Забито 50 49 Пропущено 35 41 Очки 58 90.08 Атаки 100.24 40.61 Опасные атаки 51.73 0 Голевые моменты 0 12.32 Удары по воротам 14.16 3.43 Удары в створ 4.49 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 4.49 Угловые 5.73 1.57 Оффсайды 1.97 12.51 Фолы 11.78 51.22 % владения мячом 54.92 2.22 Предупреждения 1.54 0.08 Удаления 0.05 Голы Роберто Пикколи Марко Брешианини 1:0 39' Пьетро Комуццо 1:1 82' Наказания Камал Сулемана 47' Хонест Аханор 60'