Serie A Italy

27.04.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction

27.04.2025 13:00 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Fiorentina - Empoli

Italy Futbol

Fiorentina

2 : 1

Finished

Empoli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Empoli 27 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.95 / X 3.33 / 2 4.61
1X2 market: Fiorentina 49.8% / X 29.2% / Empoli 21.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%

1 49.8%

X 29.2%

2 21.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%

Over 2.5 40.3%

Under 2.5 59.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 27.04.2025 13:00 UTC

Match center

Fiorentina - Empoli

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.61 market consensus · line only

X 3.33 market consensus · line only

1 1.95 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.93 market consensus · line only

12 1.37 market consensus · line only

1X 1.23 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.95 51.3%
Х	3.33 30.0%
П2	4.61 21.7%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.93 51.8%
home_away	1.37 73.0%
home_draw	1.23 81.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5	2.40 41.7%
ТМ 2.5	1.62 61.7%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.37 73.0%
П2	3.26 30.7%

Match center

Fiorentina

W D D W W

23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 2:1 Cagliari

13.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 0:0 Parma

05.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 2:2 AC Milan

31.10 17:30 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 1:0 Genoa

27.10 19:45 UTC Serie A

Fiorentina 5:1 AS Roma

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.8 Conceded

11 Points

Empoli

D L D L D

20.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Empoli 2:2 Venezia

14.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Empoli 0:3 Napoli

06.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Empoli 0:0 Cagliari

30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A

Empoli 0:3 Inter

27.10 10:30 UTC Serie A

Empoli 1:1 Parma

0 Wins

3 Draws

2 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.8 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Empoli

Fiorentina

1 matches total

Empoli

Fiorentina: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Empoli: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (29.09 16:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

29.09 16:00 UTC

Serie A

Fiorentina

0:0

Empoli