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Serie A
Serie A Italy
10.05.2026 13:00 UTC 36 round
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Fiorentina - Genoa

Italy Football
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
0 : 0
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Genoa May 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.37 / 2 4.14
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 49.0% / X 28.1% / Genoa 22.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 48.9%
X 28.2%
2 22.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 46.0%
Under 2.5 54.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Stadium Artemio Franki (Florentsiya, Italy), 19 000 zriteley (44% pri vmestimosti 43 147)
Referee Luka Massimi
Start 10.05.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Fiorentina - Genoa

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Fiorentina - Dzhenoa, 10 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Italy po futbolu (Seriya A) 2025-2026, 36 round. Fiorentina - Dzhenoa, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.20 market consensus · line only
X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 3.03 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.86 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.84 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.90 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.52 28.4% 3.25 30.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3%
3.65 27.4% 4.50 22.2% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.15 24.1% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 1.91 52.4% 1.86 53.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 1.04 96.2%
Over 1.0 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25 1.19 84.0%
Over 1.5 1.35 74.1% 1.31 76.3%
Over 1.75 1.41 70.9%
Over 2.0 1.53 65.4%
Over 2.25 1.88 53.2%
Over 2.5 2.00 50.0%
Over 3.5 3.65 27.4%
Over 4.5 7.00 14.3%
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8%
Under 1.5 3.10 32.3%
Under 2.5 1.77 56.5%
Under 3.5 1.28 78.1%
Under 4.5 1.09 91.7%
Match center
Fiorentina

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Genoa

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Moyze Kin Abdelkhamid Sabiri Travmirovannye Tommazo Baldantsi Zhunior Messyas Bruk Norton-Kaffi
Match center
Fiorentina
L D D W W
04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 0:4 AS RomaAS Roma
26.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 0:0 SassuoloSassuolo
20.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:1 LecceLecce
13.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:0 LazioLazio
04.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Genoa
D L W W L
02.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 AtalantaAtalanta
26.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 ComoComo
19.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:1 PisaPisa
12.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:1 SassuoloSassuolo
06.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 JuventusJuventus
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Genoa

Fiorentina
2 matches total
Genoa
Fiorentina: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Fiorentina 1:0 (31.10 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 09.11 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (09.11 14:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

09.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina
2:2
Genoa
31.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina
1:0
Genoa
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Fiorentina
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Genoa
Fiorentina Team comparison Genoa
35 Games 35
8 Wins 10
13 Draws 10
14 Losses 15
38 Scored 40
49 Conceded 48
37 Points 40
90.88 Attacks 89.74
41.06 Dangerous attacks 36.77
0 Big chances 0
12.37 Shots on goal 11.09
3.51 Shots on target 3.83
Sootnoshenie statisticheskikh dannykh komand Fiorentina Dzhenoa 35 Games 35 8 Wins 10 13 Draws 10 14 Losses 15 38 Scored 40 49 Conceded 48 37 Points 40 90.88 Attacks 89.74 41.06 Dangerous attacks 36.77 0 Big chances 0 12.37 Shots on goal 11.09 3.51 Udary v stvor 3.83 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.57 Uglovye 3.63 1.6 Offsaydy

Fiorentina Dzhenoa 35 Games 35 8 Wins 10 13 Draws 10 14 Losses 15 38 Scored 40 49 Conceded 48 37 Points 40 90.88 Attacks 89.74 41.06 Dangerous attacks 36.77 0 Big chances 0 12.37 Shots on goal 11.09 3.51 Udary v stvor 3.83 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.57 Uglovye 3.63 1.6 Offsaydy 1.29 12.51 Foly 12.54 51.31 % vladeniya myachom 47.83 2.26 Warnings 1.71 0.06 Sendoffs 0.09