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Start
14.12.2025 14:00 UTC
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14.12.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Fiorentina - Hellas Verona
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Fiorentina - Hellas Verona December 14, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.
Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.19 / 2 4.25
- 1X2 market: Fiorentina 47.7% / X 29.9% / Hellas Verona 22.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 59.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
47.7%
X
29.9%
2
22.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5
40.8%
Under 2.5
59.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Fiorentina - Hellas Verona
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.26
market consensus · line only
X
3.19
market consensus · line only
1
2.00
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.83
market consensus · line only
12
1.36
market consensus · line only
1X
1.23
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.85
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.38
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.98
market consensus · line only
2 +1
8.30
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.34
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.61
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.77
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.00
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.04 49.0% | |
| X | 3.19 31.4% |
| 4.46 22.4% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.97 50.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.04 49.0% | 1.91 52.4% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% | |
| X | 3.15 31.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
| 4.30 23.3% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.39 22.8% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.55 22.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.75 57.1% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.82 55.0% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.99 50.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.99 50.3% | 2.06 48.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.80 55.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.86 53.8% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.37 73.0% |
| home_draw | 1.22 82.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.25 80.0% |
Match center
Fiorentina
L
L
D
D
L
06.12 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:3
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
30.11 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:2
Atalanta
Atalanta
22.11 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:1
Juventus
Juventus
09.11 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
2:2
Genoa
Genoa
02.11 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:1
Lecce
Lecce
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.8
Conceded
2
Points
Hellas Verona
W
L
L
D
L
06.12 19:45 UTC
Serie A
Hellas Verona
3:1
Atalanta
Atalanta
29.11 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Hellas Verona
1:2
Genoa
Genoa
23.11 11:30 UTC
Serie A
Hellas Verona
1:2
Parma
Parma
08.11 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Hellas Verona
0:0
Lecce
Lecce
02.11 11:30 UTC
Serie A
Hellas Verona
1:2
Inter
Inter
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.2
Scored
1.4
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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