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Serie A
Serie A Italy
22.11.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Fiorentina - Juventus

Italy Football
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Finished
Juventus
Juventus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Juventus November 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.78 / X 3.27 / 2 2.07
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 25.2% / X 29.0% / Juventus 45.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 25.1%
X 29.0%
2 45.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 43.8%
Under 2.5 56.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.11.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Fiorentina - Juventus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.08 market consensus · line only
X 3.27 market consensus · line only
1 3.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.76 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.06 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.14 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.86 25.9%
X 3.29 30.4%
2.15 46.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.91 25.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.42 29.2% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8%
2.02 49.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.14 46.7% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.84 54.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.89 52.9%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5%
Match center
Fiorentina
D L L D L
09.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:2 GenoaGenoa
02.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 0:1 LecceLecce
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 0:3 InterInter
26.10 17:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:2 BolognaBologna
19.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:2 AC MilanAC Milan
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Juventus
D W W L L
08.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:0 TorinoTorino
01.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:1 CremoneseCremonese
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Juventus 3:1 UdineseUdinese
26.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:1 LazioLazio
19.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:2 ComoComo
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Juventus

Fiorentina
0 matches total
Juventus
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history