Serie A
Serie A Italy
22.09.2024 10:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Fiorentina - Lazio

Italy Futbol
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
2 : 1
Finished
Lazio
Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Lazio 22 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.39 / X 3.32 / 2 3.25
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 40.7% / X 29.3% / Lazio 30.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 40.7%
X 29.3%
2 30.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 46.3%
Under 2.5 53.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.09.2024 10:30 UTC
Match center

Fiorentina - Lazio

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.25 market consensus · line only
X 3.32 market consensus · line only
1 2.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.39 41.8%
Х 3.32 30.1%
П2 3.25 30.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.64 61.0%
home_away 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.39 71.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.10 47.6%
ТМ 2.5 1.81 55.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.68 59.5%
П2 2.28 43.9%
Match center
Fiorentina
L D
15.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:3 AtalantaAtalanta
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:2 Monza
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
1 Points
Lazio
W
16.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Lazio

Fiorentina
0 matches total
Lazio
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history