Serie A
Serie A Italy
01.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Fiorentina - Monza

Italy Futbol
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
2 : 2
Finished
Monza
Monza

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Monza 1 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.83 / X 3.53 / 2 5.03
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 53.1% / X 27.5% / Monza 19.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 53.1%
X 27.5%
2 19.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 46.4%
Under 2.5 53.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Fiorentina - Monza

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.03 market consensus · line only
X 3.53 market consensus · line only
1 1.83 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.83 54.6%
Х 3.53 28.3%
П2 5.03 19.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.08 48.1%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.09 47.9%
ТМ 2.5 1.81 55.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.31 76.3%
П2 3.67 27.3%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Monza

Fiorentina
0 matches total
Monza
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history