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Serie A
Serie A Italy
23.02.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction
23.02.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Fiorentina - Pisa

Italy Football
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1 : 0
Finished
Pisa
Pisa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Pisa February 23, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 3.91 / 2 5.49
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 58.4% / X 24.3% / Pisa 17.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 58.4%
X 24.3%
2 17.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 52.5%
Under 2.5 47.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.02.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Fiorentina - Pisa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.51 market consensus · line only
X 3.91 market consensus · line only
1 1.63 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.30 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 1.15 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.77 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.80 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.64 61.0%
X 3.94 25.4%
5.85 17.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.68 59.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9%
X 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.07 24.6% 3.70 27.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.05 24.7%
5.30 18.9% 5.60 17.9% 5.77 17.3% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.60 17.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.89 52.9% 2.01 49.8%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.20 45.5% 2.33 42.9% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.13 88.5%
Match center
Fiorentina
W D L L W
14.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:1 ComoComo
07.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:2 TorinoTorino
31.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:2 NapoliNapoli
24.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:2 CagliariCagliari
18.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:1 BolognaBologna
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Pisa
L D L L D
13.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:2 AC MilanAC Milan
06.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
31.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:3 SassuoloSassuolo
23.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:6 InterInter
16.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.4 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Pisa

Fiorentina
1 matches total
Pisa
Fiorentina: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Pisa: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (28.09 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina
0:0
Pisa