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Serie A
Serie A Italy
21.12.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
21.12.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Fiorentina - Udinese

Italy Football
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
5 : 1
Finished
Udinese
Udinese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Udinese December 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.07 / X 3.23 / 2 3.85
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 45.9% / X 29.4% / Udinese 24.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 45.9%
X 29.4%
2 24.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 43.3%
Under 2.5 56.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.12.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Fiorentina - Udinese

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.87 market consensus · line only
X 3.24 market consensus · line only
1 2.07 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.77 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.36 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.70 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.85 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.02 49.5%
X 3.42 29.2%
4.15 24.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.12 47.2% 2.02 49.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.30 30.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8%
3.65 27.4% 4.05 24.7% 3.82 26.2% 3.50 28.6% 4.10 24.4% 4.00 25.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.76 56.8%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.29 77.5%
Match center
Fiorentina
L L L D D
14.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
06.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:3 SassuoloSassuolo
30.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
22.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:1 JuventusJuventus
09.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:2 GenoaGenoa
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Udinese
W L W L L
14.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:0 NapoliNapoli
08.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 1:2 GenoaGenoa
29.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 2:0 ParmaParma
22.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:3 BolognaBologna
09.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Udinese 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Udinese

Fiorentina
1 matches total
Udinese
Fiorentina: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Udinese: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Fiorentina 3:2 (25.05 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 25.05 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina
3:2
Udinese