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Serie A
Serie A Italy
15.09.2024 10:30 UTC Match prediction
15.09.2024 10:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - AS Roma

Italy Futbol
Genoa
Genoa
1 : 1
Finished
AS Roma
AS Roma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - AS Roma 15 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.69 / X 3.24 / 2 2.23
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 26.4% / X 30.0% / AS Roma 43.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 26.4%
X 30.0%
2 43.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 43.2%
Under 2.5 56.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.09.2024 10:30 UTC
Match center

Genoa - AS Roma

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.23 market consensus · line only
X 3.24 market consensus · line only
1 3.69 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.72 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.69 27.1%
Х 3.24 30.9%
П2 2.23 44.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.32 75.8%
home_away 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.72 58.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.25 44.4%
ТМ 2.5 1.71 58.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.57 38.9%
П2 1.55 64.5%
Match center
Genoa
L
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
AS Roma
D
01.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:0 JuventusJuventus
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - AS Roma

Genoa
0 matches total
AS Roma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history