Serie A
Serie A Italy
08.03.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - AS Roma

Italy Futbol
Genoa
Genoa
2 : 1
Finished
AS Roma
AS Roma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - AS Roma 8 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.34 / X 3.13 / 2 1.99
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 21.9% / X 30.3% / AS Roma 47.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 21.9%
X 30.4%
2 47.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 37.4%
Under 2.5 62.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.03.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Genoa - AS Roma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.99 market consensus · line only
X 3.13 market consensus · line only
1 4.35 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.22 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.83 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.99 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.46 22.4%
Х 3.14 31.9%
П2 2.06 48.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 4.20 23.8% 4.45 22.5% 4.64 21.6% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.50 22.2%
Х 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.27 30.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8%
П2 1.96 51.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.64 61.0% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.64 61.0% 1.71 58.5% 1.66 60.2%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.17 46.1% 2.14 46.7% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.22 45.1% 2.17 46.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
Match center
Genoa
L W D L L
28.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 InterInter
22.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:0 TorinoTorino
15.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
07.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:3 NapoliNapoli
30.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:3 LazioLazio
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
AS Roma
D W D W L
01.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:3 JuventusJuventus
22.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:0 CremoneseCremonese
15.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:2 NapoliNapoli
09.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 CagliariCagliari
02.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 UdineseUdinese
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - AS Roma

Genoa
2 matches total
AS Roma
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
AS Roma: 1 (50%)
Biggest win AS Roma 1:3 (29.12 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 29.12 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (15.09 10:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 2

Match history

29.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa
1:3
AS Roma
15.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa
1:1
AS Roma