Match center
Start
21.12.2025 19:45 UTC
21.12.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Genoa - Atalanta
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Genoa - Atalanta 21 декабря 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.
Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.75 / X 3.13 / 2 2.14
- 1X2 market: Genoa 25.3% / X 30.3% / Atalanta 44.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
25.3%
X
30.3%
2
44.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5
41.0%
Under 2.5
59.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Genoa - Atalanta
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.14
market consensus · line only
X
3.14
market consensus · line only
1
3.76
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.28
market consensus · line only
12
1.36
market consensus · line only
1X
1.72
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.28
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.06
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.11
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.31
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.33
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.62
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.80
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.97
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.86 25.9% |
| Х | 3.19 31.4% |
| П2 | 2.19 45.7% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 3.70 27.0% | 3.85 26.0% | 3.86 25.9% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.75 26.7% |
| Х | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
| П2 | 2.14 46.7% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.18 45.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.80 55.6% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.84 54.4% |
| yes | 1.95 51.3% | 2.04 49.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.91 52.4% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.04 49.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.38 72.5% |
| home_draw | 1.67 59.9% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.73 57.8% |
Match center
Genoa
L
W
W
D
D
14.12 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Genoa
1:2
Inter
Inter
08.12 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Genoa
2:1
Udinese
Udinese
29.11 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Genoa
2:1
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
22.11 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Genoa
3:3
Cagliari
Cagliari
09.11 14:00 UTC
Serie A
Genoa
2:2
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.8
Conceded
8
Points
Atalanta
W
L
W
L
L
13.12 19:45 UTC
Serie A
Atalanta
2:1
Cagliari
Cagliari
06.12 19:45 UTC
Serie A
Atalanta
1:3
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
30.11 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Atalanta
2:0
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
22.11 19:45 UTC
Serie A
Atalanta
1:3
Napoli
Napoli
09.11 11:30 UTC
Serie A
Atalanta
0:3
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.2
Scored
2.0
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Atalanta
Genoa
2
matches total
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Atalanta: 2 (100%)
Biggest win
Atalanta 1:5 (05.10 16:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
6 goals (1:5, 05.10 16:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
17.05 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Genoa
2:3
Atalanta
05.10 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Genoa
1:5
Atalanta